AVAX/USDT has broken market structure to the upside by forming a confirmed higher high, indicating a potential bullish trend reversal. However, despite this structural shift, the price failed to secure a daily close above the key resistance level at $26.02, leaving the breakout unconfirmed for now.
Currently, the pair is trading marginally above an ascending trendline. Given the present market structure, the most probable scenario involves a liquidity sweep below the trendline — targeting stop-losses from early long positions — before establishing a clean higher low and initiating a strong bullish reversal.
The $22.40 level, which previously acted as resistance, is now serving as key support. As long as price remains above this level, the bullish bias remains intact. However, a temporary deviation below the trendline and a move toward the $19.47 support area would likely represent a classic liquidity grab — designed to shake out weak hands before a sharp move higher.
A confirmed daily close above $26.49 would significantly increase the probability of continued upside momentum, with the next major resistance zone lying between $30.60 and $32.87. This zone remains the primary upside target in the short- to mid-term.