bullmarket

Everyone sees the pullbacks and panics. But what if those dips aren't warnings—they're invitations?
We're four bear traps deep into this cycle, and the fear is still palpable. Social media floods with caution. Retail traders exit positions. "This time it's different" becomes the refrain. Yet here we are, higher than before, with Bitcoin carving out a pattern that's repeated at every major inflection point since 2021.
The chart tells a story most traders refuse to read.


What Bear Traps Actually Reveal
A bear trap isn't market weakness—it's market structure doing what healthy markets do. They shake out leverage. They test conviction. They separate tourists from holders. And most importantly, they create the liquidity necessary for the next leg up.
Look at the pattern. Around $25,000 in late 2023: bear trap. The market dipped, sentiment collapsed, everyone called the top. Bitcoin rallied to $70,000.
Around $60,000 in mid-2024: bear trap. Sharp correction, fear spiked, leveraged positions liquidated. Bitcoin pushed through $80,000.
Around $80,000: bear trap. Same story, same fear, same outcome. New highs followed.
Around $105,000 most recently: bear trap number four. And once again, retail is scared while the chart is screaming continuation.
The Psychology of Repeated Patterns
Here's what separates experienced traders from perpetual panic sellers: pattern recognition over emotional reaction. When a specific setup—in this case, dips along an ascending trend line—has resolved bullishly three consecutive times, the fourth occurrence isn't a warning. It's a probability play.
Markets don't move in straight lines. Pullbacks are features, not bugs. They're how smart money accumulates from weak hands. They're how overbought conditions get reset. They're how sustainable rallies get built instead of parabolic blow-offs that end in crashes.
The weekly chart shows a clean ascending support line dating back years. Every touch of that line has been met with fear. Every touch has been followed by explosive upside. The pattern hasn't failed yet—but traders keep betting it will this time.
Why "This Time Is Different" Is Usually Wrong
The bear case always sounds smarter. It sounds more sophisticated to point out risks than to identify opportunities. Pessimists get taken seriously. Optimists get called naive.
But in trending markets—and make no mistake, this is still a trending market—pessimism at support levels is systematically wrong. Not sometimes. Not occasionally. Systematically.
The data is unambiguous. Four tests of rising support. Four instances of maximum fear at those tests. Four subsequent rallies to new highs. Anyone selling at these bear traps has been wrong 100% of the time this cycle.
Yet the crowd keeps making the same mistake. They see a 10-15% correction and interpret it as the start of a bear market, ignoring that every meaningful bull market is built on dozens of these corrections. They focus on the drawdown instead of the trend. They trade emotion instead of structure.
The Macro Context Hasn't Changed
Nothing about the fundamental drivers of this Bitcoin cycle has broken. Institutional adoption continues. ETF flows remain positive. Regulatory clarity is improving. The halving supply shock is working exactly as designed. Macro liquidity conditions are supportive.
Bear traps happen within bull markets. They don't signal the end of bull markets—they signal healthy consolidation before continuation. If the fundamental thesis were breaking, we'd see distribution, not accumulation. We'd see declining lows, not higher lows. We'd see bearish divergences in on-chain data, not consistent strength.
Instead, what we see is a market doing exactly what trending markets do: moving higher in steps, shaking out weak hands at each step, and rewarding those who understand that volatility is the price of admission for asymmetric returns.
The Ascending Trend Line Isn't Arbitrary
Technical analysis skeptics dismiss trend lines as subjective. But when a trend line spans multiple years, touches multiple significant lows, and has never been meaningfully violated, it stops being subjective. It becomes structural.
That ascending support line represents something real: a progressively higher price floor where buyers have consistently overwhelmed sellers. Each test of that line shows increased demand at higher prices. That's not chart voodoo—that's supply and demand expressing itself visually.
Markets respect levels that matter. This line matters because billions of dollars in position decisions have been made around it. Institutional traders watch it. Algorithmic systems trigger around it. Retail might not see it, but everyone moving serious capital does.
Why Fear at Support Is a Contrarian Signal
The best trades don't feel good when you take them. They feel uncomfortable, uncertain, lonely. If a trade feels obvious and comfortable, you're probably late.
Right now, being bullish at this level feels uncomfortable for most people. The sentiment data shows fear. Social media shows doubt. Retail positioning shows defensive posture. That's precisely what bottoms look like in trending markets.
Crowds are terrible at identifying bottoms and tops. They're optimistic at tops when they should be cautious. They're pessimistic at bottoms when they should be aggressive. The crowd is consistently, reliably wrong at extremes—and we're at a sentiment extreme right now, just not the kind most people think.
What "Going Higher" Actually Means
This isn't hopium. It's not blind optimism. It's pattern recognition, structural analysis, and probability-weighted thinking.
Could the trend break? Of course. Nothing is certain in markets. But betting against a trend that's held for years, just because you're scared after a 10% dip, is how traders consistently lose money in bull markets. They get shaken out at exactly the wrong time, then watch in frustration as the market does exactly what the trend suggested it would do.
"Going higher" means the path of least resistance remains up. It means the trend is intact until proven otherwise. It means corrections within uptrends are buying opportunities, not exit signals. It means the fourth bear trap will likely resolve the same way the first three did—with new highs that make current prices look cheap in hindsight.
The Mistake Almost Everyone Makes
Traders love to call tops. It feels smart to be the one who "saw it coming." But calling tops in a bull market is a expensive hobby. You might be right eventually—everything tops eventually—but you'll miss massive gains trying to time that perfect exit.
The smarter approach: ride the trend until the trend breaks. Right now, the trend hasn't broken. Higher lows, higher highs, ascending support holding, fundamental drivers intact. When those conditions change, the strategy changes. Until then, fighting the trend is fighting probability.
Why This Pattern Matters for What Comes Next
If this bear trap resolves like the previous three—and the structural setup suggests it will—we're not just talking about a return to previous highs. We're talking about continuation of a multi-year bull market that's repeatedly demonstrated resilience at exactly these moments of maximum doubt.
Bitcoin at $140,000 will make the current $105,000 "trap" look like the obvious buy it actually was. Just like $80,000 made the $60,000 trap look obvious. Just like $70,000 made the $25,000 trap look obvious.
The pattern repeats because human psychology repeats. Fear at support. FOMO at resistance. Distribution at tops. Accumulation at bottoms. The cycle is eternal, and right now we're in the accumulation phase of a broader distribution pattern that hasn't completed yet.
The Bookmarking Suggestion Isn't Arrogance
"Bookmark this and thank me later" sounds cocky. But confidence based on pattern recognition and structural analysis isn't arrogance—it's probabilistic thinking expressing certainty in a high-probability setup.
Will this specific call be right? The market will decide. But the framework behind it—buying fear at support in trending markets—is systematically profitable over time. It's been systematically profitable for the last three bear traps this cycle. And unless something fundamental has changed (it hasn't), it's likely to be profitable again.
This isn't about being right for ego. It's about being right because the setup, the structure, and the historical pattern all align. When those three elements converge, conviction is appropriate.

#Bitcoin #Crypto #bullmarket #TechnicalAnalysis #ContrarianCrypto #MarketPullback
The crowd will feel smart for being cautious—right up until they're buying back in at prices that make today look like the generational opportunity it probably is.

$MINA is showing strong bullish momentum with increasing trading volume — a clear sign that buyers are stepping in aggressively. This breakout reflects a shift in market sentiment, and if price continues to hold above key support zones, we could see a sustained rally ahead.
💎 Smart Strategy:
Use minor dips as accumulation opportunities — the structure is bullish, and $MINA appears well-positioned to maintain upward momentum in upcoming sessions.

📈 The trend is turning. The move is real. The eyes are now on MINA.

#as