BTCUSD

$BTC

BTC/USD Detailed Technical Analysis – 24 May 2025

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Time Frames Used:

* Analysis: Daily, 4H, 1H
* Execution: 5 Min, 1 Min

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Trend Overview:

* Daily Trend: Bullish (Uptrend continues after ATH breakout)
* 4H Trend: Bullish (Still forming higher highs & lows)
* 1H Trend: Slightly Bearish (Minor pullback from the top)

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Current Price:

107,900 USDT (as of the chart time)

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What Price is Doing Now:

1. ATH formed recently – market reached new all-time highs.
2. Pullback underway – price retraced after ATH and is currently testing a Daily Demand Zone.
3. Previous analysis target of 106,900 was hit successfully.
4. After touching 106,800, price gave a strong bounce (\~1000+ points).

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Key Zones:

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Supply Zone (Resistance):

* Around 109,000 – 110,000
* Use for selling opportunities only after confirmation.

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Demand Zones (Support):

* Current: 106,900 – 107,900 → Price is reacting from here.
* Lower: 104,000 & 102,400 → Marked for deeper retracement buys.

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Possible Scenarios Ahead:

1. Bullish Case:

* Price holds 107K–106.9K zone
* Fresh rally to new ATHs can start

2. Bearish Case:

* If 106,900 breaks decisively
* Price may test 104,000 and 102,400

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Trading Plan:

* Buy Only at Demand Zones
* Sell Only at Supply Zones
* Avoid emotional trades; stick to levels and signals

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Rules to Follow:

1. SL must be respected strictly
2. Maintain Risk\:Reward ≥ 1:2
3. Wait for price action confirmation
4. Use proper setup before entry (engulfing, pin bar, BOS, etc.)

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Summary:

BTC has completed a clean retracement post ATH and is now reacting from a strong demand zone. This is a key decision point. Traders should observe price behavior around 107K–106.9K for potential long entries, while keeping an eye on lower zones if breakdown occurs.

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Technical Levels to Watch:

* Resistance: 109,700–110,000
* Support 1: 106,900 (tested)
* Support 2: 104,000
* Support 3: 102,400

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Analysis by: @tradingalgo2025
#BTC #PriceAction #SupplyDemandImbalance #BTCUSD

#MarketPullback

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is experiencing the weakest Bull Cycle in its history, a natural product of the Theory of Diminishing Returns (TDM).
This chart couldn't have put it better as we show all Cycles since BTC's first day, one on top of the other. Naturally the first Cycles were the most aggressive, witnessing extraordinary gains as the upside potential of a fresh market was enormous in its early days.
The 2015 - 2017 (blue trend-line) and 2019 - 2021 (black trend-line) Bull Cycles have been harmonized to a more traditional capital market state and this is obvious on their trend-lines, which exhibit similar parallel price action. Whenever the two diverged, they converged at some point during the Cycle.
The current Cycle (2023 - 2025) following the late February 2025 divergence, is now attempting to converge again with its strong rebound in the past 6 weeks. Being however within a Channel Up throughout the entirety of the Cycle, it appears that it will do so in a structured way and as the TDM suggests, will offer weaker gains.
What we can project, as we've shown on previous studies in great detail, is the timing of the Cycle Top. Based on past Cycles, it should be within October - December 2025. Timing your exit strategy can perhaps be more effective than assigning a certain Target, even though the peak is expected to be anywhere within the $150k - $200k range.
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#BTC #bitcoin #BTCUSDT #BTCUSD #signals

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is about to enter the final week of May, with the month mostly likely to close on a strong green candle, the 2nd straight. Though it made yesterday a new All Time High (ATH) above 109k and many are already talking about a bearish reversal, this chart shows that there is still plenty of time left before the current Bull Cycle tops.
If fact a simple measurement of the Bottom to Bottom and Bottom to Top ranges of the last 3 Cycles is enough to present all the evidence that are needed for this case.
As you can see, the previous 2 Bull Cycles lasted for 35 months (1065 days) from Bottom to Top. Similarly, the Bottom to Bottom (Bear Cycle to Bear Cycle) measurement has been 47 months (1430 days).
This amazing symmetry suggest that BTC is more likely than not to repeat this feat on the current Cycle as well. A 35 month range from Top to Top indicates that the Bull Cycle is expected to peak on October 2025, while a 47 month Bottom to Bottom range indicates that the next Bear Cycle should bottom in October 2026! As far as a potential price top is concerned, various of the previous analyses we've conducted show that $200k is a fair maximum, but the current study focuses on the timing of profit taking and not specific price levels.
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#BTC #bitcoin #BTCUSDT #BTCUSD #signals

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is extending its amazing rebound on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), having recovered all of the losses sustained following the U.S. - Chine Trade War. Based on this Cycle's pattern, this 1W MA50 rebound is technically the new Bullish Leg, essentially its 4th of this Cycle.
Among all this, we managed to identify another cyclical pattern, separating the Cycle in terms of Activity Zones:
Naturally its very bottom is what we call the 'Best Buy Zone' (green), where BTC's earliest and most optimal buy opportunities existed. That ranges within the 0.0 and 1.0 Fibonacci levels.
Above that it's the 'Final Buy Zone' (yellow) where in relative efficieny terms, the last long-term buy opportunities existed. That Zone consists of the 1.0 and 2.0 Fibonacci levels.
Third in line is the 'First TP Zone' (orange) where long-term investors who seek lower risk, can start taking profit on their positions. The range on that is the 2.0 - 3.0 Fibonacci levels.
Lastly it's the 'Fina TP Zone' (red) where obviously it is the last opportunity (and with the greatest return but also elevated risk) to take profits before the Cycle prices its Top. This consists of the 3.0 - 4.0 Fibonacci range.
As you may have noticed, each Zone has a .618 interval (highlighted in blue). Zone 1 has the 0.618 Fib, Zone 2 the 1.618 Fib, Zone 3 the 2.618 Fib and one 4 the 3.618 Fib. This is where (so far) the price has made a first consolidation - correction after the start of the new Bullish Leg and before it gets completed at the top Fib. The last such consolidation was from mid December 2024 to late January 2025 and as you see those tend to be significant marks.
This model shows that the current Bullish Leg should prepare us for the Final TP Zone and its first stop is the 3.0 Fib at $135k. This is the bottom of the Final TP Zone and the first region that long-term investors should consider taking profits. The key 3.618 Fib extension is at $210k and in our opinion is the absolute max level we should look to sell all positions as chronologically Cycle wise the trend falls there towards the end of the year, which is where all Cycles topped. A 4.0 Fib test is highly unlikely to take place within this Cycle, unless macroeconomic fundamentals (extreme adoption and/or monetary intervention) kick in and that sits at $280k.
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#BTC #bitcoin #BTCUSDT #BTCUSD #signals