BTC走势分析

🐻 Bearish Candlestick Patterns (Signal a Potential Downtrend) $BTC
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1️⃣ Shooting Star

Small body at the bottom, long upper wick

Appears after an uptrend → possible reversal

2️⃣ Hanging Man

Small body at the top, long lower wick

Warns of bearish momentum after an uptrend

3️⃣ Inverted Hammer

Small body at the bottom, long upper wick

Seen at the end of downtrends → possible reversal signal

4️⃣ Evening Star

3 candles: bullish → small indecision → strong bearish

Strong signal of a trend reversal

5️⃣ Doji Star

A Doji followed by a bearish candle

Signals indecision before a downtrend

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📈 Bullish Candlestick Patterns (Signal a Potential Uptrend)

6️⃣ Marubozu

Full body, no wicks

Green = strong bullish force

Red = strong bearish momentum

7️⃣ Long-Legged Doji

Long wicks, very small body

Signals major indecision in the market

8️⃣ Bullish Harami

Small green candle inside the body of a prior red candle

Can hint at a bullish reversal

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📊 Neutral Candlestick Patterns (Market Indecision)

9️⃣ Doji

Open ≈ Close price

Signals uncertainty—wait for confirmation

🔟 Spinning Top

Small body, long upper and lower shadows

Often shows consolidation or indecision

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🌟 Key Takeaways:

✅ Single candlestick patterns offer early reversal clues

✅ Volume + indicators = stronger confirmation

✅ Use alongside support/resistance for better accuracy

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Strategy executive chairman Michael Saylor said long-term Bitcoin holders haven’t lost money, as BTC hits a new all-time high.
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Bitcoin surged past $111,800 on Thursday, marking a new record as Treasury yields rose following a weak 20-year U.S. bond auction. The price of the leading digital asset rebounded sharply from a brief dip to $106,000 earlier in the week.
It reclaimed its previous peak of $109,200 on Wednesday before setting a new record near $112,000. The broader market responded positively, with crypto sentiment buoyed by the strong price action.

No One Lost Money Buying Bitcoin
This price action notably prompted commentary from Michael Saylor, chairman of Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy). In an X post, he reiterated the view that “no one has ever lost money buying Bitcoin.” 
This sentiment was echoed by popular crypto influencer Altcoin Daily, which noted that, in Bitcoin’s 16-year history, 100% of holders are currently in profit.
All Bitcoin Wallets in Profit
Indeed, on-chain data from IntoTheBlock confirmed that the entire tracked Bitcoin supply is currently held at a profit. Specifically, the “In The Money” wallets, those holding BTC purchased below the current market price, now account for 100% of all holdings, totaling 19.89 million BTC. The value of these profitable holdings is estimated at approximately $2.21 trillion.

At the same time, no wallets are classified as “Out Of The Money,” meaning there are currently zero tracked BTC holdings at a loss. This reflects that Bitcoin’s market price now exceeds all historical purchase prices among wallets included in the dataset. 
However, it’s important to note that this data reflects only unrealized gains and does not account for any realized losses from those who sold at a dip.
Short Liquidations Intensify
Meanwhile, activity in Bitcoin’s derivatives markets has intensified alongside the price rally. Trading volume rose by over 84%, reaching $221 billion, while open interest climbed 17%, signaling a surge in leveraged positions.
Funding rates remain positive across major exchanges, indicating that long traders are paying to maintain positions, an indicator of sustained bullish sentiment.

Meanwhile, short sellers have faced steep losses. More than $173 million in shorts were liquidated over the past 24 hours, while only $51.61 million in long positions were liquidated.
Options volume also grew significantly, rising 85% as traders positioned for continued volatility or hedged existing bets.
Key Resistance Levels and Market Indicators
As Bitcoin hovered near $112,000, analysts are assessing the next potential resistance. Joe DiPasquale, CEO of BitBull Capital, pointed to $120,000 as the next major technical target. He noted that this level aligns with longer-term Fibonacci extensions, offering a benchmark for continued upward momentum.
Furthermore, DiPasquale emphasized that ETF inflows and funding rate trends remain key indicators in gauging the sustainability of the rally.
According to his outlook, continued strength in these metrics and favorable macroeconomic conditions could support a move toward $120,000 within weeks. He added that price action at these levels is expected to remain volatile, especially as resistance levels break and more capital re-enters the market.
Meanwhile, other veteral analysts like Peter Brandt belive Bitcoin could head go $150K in the next three months.
DisClamier:
This content is informational and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author's personal opinions and do not reflect @Lachakari_Crypto opinion. Readers are encouraged to do thorough research before making any investment decisions. @Lachakari_Crypto is not responsible for any financial losses.
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🚨 Bitcoin Hits All-Time High – So Why Aren’t Altcoins Pumping?

Bitcoin is surging, but the altcoin market remains flat. Here’s why:

Rising Bitcoin Dominance

Capital is flowing heavily into BTC. When dominance rises, it signals investors are prioritizing Bitcoin over alts.2. Altcoin Oversupply

With thousands of altcoins — many offering similar value — investor attention and capital are diluted across the board.Weak Ethereum Performance

The ETH/BTC ratio is still low. Historically, a strong Ethereum breakout sparks broader altcoin rallies. That hasn’t happened yet.
Altseason Comes Later

Altcoins usually rally after Bitcoin cools off or consolidates. Right now, BTC is still the main show. Rotation into alts typically follows with a lag.#BinanceAlphaAlert #BinancelaunchpoolHuma #BTC走势分析

A Recent report by BlockBeats highlights insights from CryptoQuant analyst Axel, who has observed a significant drop in the weekly trading volume of the #BTC /#USD pair on centralized exchanges. From a peak of 2.9 million in July 2022, the volume has fallen sharply to just 426,000 in the latest trading session — a change that market observers are interpreting as a potentially bullish signal for #Bitcoin .
Reasons Behind the Decline
1. Impact of the LUNA Collapse
The Dramatic downfall of the #LUNA ecosystem in 2022 created widespread uncertainty, prompting many investors to shift from short-term trading to long-term holding strategies.
2. Regulatory Uncertainty
Increasing scrutiny and evolving regulations in major economies like the U.S. have led to cautious behavior among traders, contributing to reduced trading activity.
3. Rise in Holding Behavior
Many investors now view Bitcoin as a long-term store of value rather than a short-term trading asset. This “HODLing” trend has led to fewer BTC being actively traded on exchanges.
Is This a Bullish Signal?
Yes — many analysts interpret this decline as a positive indicator for Bitcoin’s long-term price trajectory:
Reduced Supply, Stable Demand
Lower availability of Bitcoin on exchanges, combined with steady or rising demand, typically exerts upward pressure on price — a fundamental economic principle.
Growing Investor Confidence
The willingness of investors to hold their BTC over extended periods reflects confidence in future price appreciation and market maturity.
Sign of Market Stabilization
Lower volatility and reduced speculative trading suggest that the crypto market may be maturing, with more thoughtful investment strategies taking hold.
Risks to Consider
While current data points toward a bullish outlook, several risks remain:
Global macroeconomic uncertainty (e.g., inflation, interest rates)
Potential for strict regulatory crackdowns
Risk of failure in other major crypto projects
Conclusion
The sharp decline in BTC/USD trading volume is a noteworthy shift in the crypto landscape. Though short-term fluctuations are inevitable, this trend reflects a maturing market with stronger fundamentals. The reduced supply, increased investor confidence, and long-term holding behavior suggest that Bitcoin may be on the path to a sustained bullish cycle.
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#BTC走势分析

$BTC
On May 22, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) surged past the $110,000 mark, reaching a new all-time high of $111,414. This significant milestone reflects a 4.19% increase from the previous close, with intraday trading ranging between $106,178 and $111,459.
🚀 Key Drivers Behind Bitcoin’s Surge

1 Regulatory Optimism in the U.S.
The U.S. Senate’s advancement of a stablecoin regulation bill has bolstered investor confidence, signaling a move towards clearer cryptocurrency regulations.
2.Institutional Investment
Major institutions are increasing their Bitcoin holdings. MicroStrategy, for instance, added $765 million worth of BTC, bringing its total holdings to over $63 billion.
3.Macroeconomic Factors
Concerns over U.S. fiscal policies and a weakening dollar have led investors to seek alternatives like Bitcoin, contributing to its price rise.
📈 Market Sentiment and Technical Analysis
Analysts are optimistic about Bitcoin’s trajectory. On-chain analyst Willy Woo predicts that once BTC firmly surpasses its all-time high, it could rapidly ascend to $118,000.
Technical indicators show a “golden cross” pattern, where the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average, suggesting continued upward momentum.
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Bitcoin ($BTC ) has once again made history, surging past its previous all-time high to reach **$109,486** during early U.S. trading hours. This milestone comes just months after BTC$BTC briefly touched record levels around **Donald Trump’s$TRUMP presidential inauguration in January**, signaling a powerful resurgence in investor confidence.
### **Key Highlights of Bitcoin’s Latest Rally**

- **New Record High:** BTC surpassed $109K, eclipsing its January peak.
- **46% Surge from April Lows:** A strong recovery from trade war fears and market uncertainty.
- **Spot Bitcoin ETFs Inflow:** Over **$3.6 billion** in net inflows in May alone.
- **Institutional Demand:** Companies like MicroStrategy and Twenty One Capital continue accumulating BTC.
- **Regulatory Support:** U.S. Senate advances stablecoin regulation, while nations explore Bitcoin reserves.

### **What’s Fueling Bitcoin’s Latest Bull Run?**

#### **1. Institutional & ETF Demand**
The approval of **spot Bitcoin ETFs** has been a game-changer, with billions flowing into these funds in May. Unlike past rallies driven by retail speculation, this surge is backed by **long-term institutional investment**, suggesting a more sustainable uptrend.

#### **2. Macroeconomic Factors**
With global markets stabilizing after trade war concerns, Bitcoin is reasserting itself as a **store of value** amid shifting monetary policies. The weakening U.S. dollar and potential rate cuts have also boosted crypto’s appeal.

#### **3. Regulatory Progress**
Recent U.S. regulatory developments, including **stablecoin legislation** and state-level Bitcoin adoption, have provided clarity and legitimacy to the crypto market. Countries like El Salvador (which continues to **buy BTC dips**) are setting precedents for national Bitcoin strategies.

#### **4. Supply Dynamics**
With the **Bitcoin halving** still fresh in investors’ minds, reduced miner supply and increasing demand are creating a **supply squeeze**, pushing prices higher.

### **Is This Rally Different from Past Peaks?**
Analysts believe **yes**. Unlike the **speculative frenzy** seen in previous cycles, this uptrend is supported by:
- **Strong institutional participation**
- **ETF-driven liquidity**
- **Regulatory advancements**
- **Real-world adoption**

This suggests Bitcoin’s latest surge may have **stronger staying power** than past rallies.

### **What’s Next for Bitcoin?**
With **$110K** now in sight, traders are watching for:
- **Further ETF inflows**
- **Macroeconomic shifts (Fed policy, inflation data)**
- **Adoption by nation-states & corporations**

If bullish momentum continues, Bitcoin could target **$120K–$150K** in the coming months.

### **Final Thoughts**
Bitcoin’s latest breakout confirms its growing role as a **global digital asset**, backed by institutions, ETFs, and regulatory progress. While volatility remains, the current rally appears **more organic and sustainable** than previous cycles.

**Are you bullish on Bitcoin’s next move? Share your thoughts in the comments!**

*Follow me for more crypto insights and market updates.* 🚀

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VanEck’s Matthew Sigel notes Bitcoin trades near ATH, yet U.S. Google search interest is just 30, far below the figure seen during the late 2024 peak.
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Bitcoin price has climbed close to its all-time high, trading at $107,384 today, approximately $1,000 below its record of $108,786. Over the past week, the price ranged between $101,000 and $107,625, displaying sharp volatility. 
Price movements included rapid swings and V-shaped recoveries, particularly visible around May 19–20, when Bitcoin briefly dropped below $103,000 before rebounding. 

Despite a 3.5% gain over the last seven days and a 1.4% increase in the past four hours, search interest remains relatively muted.
Google Search Trends Lag Despite Price Proximity to All-Time High
The Google Trends chart analyzed by Matthew Sigel, Head of Digital Assets Research at VanEck, shows a significant gap between current price action and public attention. Search interest in “Bitcoin” has remained low in the United States, according to Google Trends data covering the past five years.

At present, the relative search value stands around 30, well below the 75 recorded during the late 2024 price peak. At that time, Bitcoin had reached its previous all-time high of $108,268. This suggests that the price surge was accompanied by strong retail participation, as retail investors were likely searching for news, guides, and platforms to buy Bitcoin.
In contrast, the asset now trades only slightly below that level, but with just one-third the search interest. It is clear that the current rally lacks retail-driven curiosity, which previously coincided with surging prices. The low search interest could also indicate we’re still early in the next euphoric phase.

While some online users argue that learning is shifting to platforms like ChatGPT or Grok, Sigel emphasized that Google Trends reflects relative—not absolute—search frequency across the web.
MicroStrategy’s Impact Remains Statistically Marginal
The role of MicroStrategy in the recent price movement was also addressed. In response to online speculation, Sigel clarified that the firm’s influence on Bitcoin’s price is statistically limited.
Does $MSTR drive Bitcoin price?TLDR: No.1) Most weeks, Strategy accounts for only a low-single digit percentage (3.3% to be precise). The mean average is higher at 8.4% per week, but this result is elevated by four weeks in which its volume was >20%, offset by 8 weekly periods in which Strategy bought zero bitcoin.2) Statistically speaking, there is little to no correlation between Strategy's weekly bitcoin purchase volume and either BTC price at the end of the week (25% correlation coefficient) OR the change in BTC price over the course of the week (28% correlation coefficient). 3) Bitcoin mining volume pales in comparison to bitcoin secondary trading volumes and is thus a red herring. Over the past 27 weeks, bitcoin secondary trading volumes have been nearly 20x greater than bitcoin mining volumes. Removing Strategy's ultimately modest levels of purchases from the equation leaves secondary activity roughly 17x greater than aggregate levels of new supply. Given this imbalance, it seems clear that miners are price takers rather than price setters of bitcoin.

VanEck’s data shows that MicroStrategy’s purchases account for an average of 8.4% of weekly trading volume. However, this figure is skewed by four weeks of high activity, with eight weeks showing zero acquisitions.
Moreover, statistical analysis indicates only a 25% correlation between MicroStrategy’s weekly purchases and Bitcoin’s end-of-week price.
Similarly, the correlation with weekly price changes stands at 28%. These figures suggest minimal direct influence, supporting Sigel’s earlier position that the asset’s current strength stems primarily from broader institutional factors.
Institutional Buying Activity Outpaces New Supply
Alongside muted retail signals, reports from 21Shares confirm that institutional buying is now driving Bitcoin’s demand profile. Spot Bitcoin ETFs consistently absorb more than the 450 BTC mined daily. This steady demand has created a persistent supply imbalance, with rising interest from hedge funds, sovereign wealth funds, and corporate treasuries.
Moreover, in its May 13 report, Bitwise stated that public companies have already purchased 196,207 BTC in 2025. By contrast, only 60,044 new tokens have entered circulation this year. In addition, this means corporate acquisitions now exceed the estimated annual supply of 164,250 BTC by more than threefold. 
Further, jurisdictions such as Abu Dhabi’s sovereign wealth fund are reportedly increasing their holdings, while states like New Hampshire have proposed Bitcoin reserve legislation.
DisClamier:
This content is informational and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author's personal opinions and do not reflect @Lachakari_Crypto opinion. Readers are encouraged to do thorough research before making any investment decisions. @Lachakari_Crypto is not responsible for any financial losses.
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