Donald Trump says Iran has agreed to suspend its nuclear program indefinitely and will not receive any frozen U.S. funds as part of the deal
This is a massive claim.
If true, it signals a major shift in geopolitical risk, especially in the Middle East, where tensions have been driving uncertainty across energy and financial markets.
But here’s the key detail most people are missing…
So far, there is no full confirmation from Iran, and similar claims in the past have often faced pushback or delays in verification.
That’s where things get interesting.
Markets don’t just react to facts they react to expectations and headlines first.
If traders believe tensions are easing:
Oil pressure drops
Risk sentiment improves
Crypto and equities get a short-term boost
But if the deal falls apart or proves incomplete, volatility comes back fast.