#knowmorewithGiovanni When wars erupt, people lose their homes, savings, and stability.
But in markets, there are those who rarely lose — they reposition.
BTC is marketed as decentralized, liberating, beyond state control.
Yet the more uncomfortable truth is:
Ownership is not as decentralized as the prevailing narrative suggests.
A significant portion of the total BTC supply is concentrated in a relatively small number of large wallets and institutional entities.
When war meets wealth concentration, suspicion becomes a structural matter — not merely a theoretical idea.
First: War Creates Panic… and Panic Creates Cheap BTC Supply
Every major geopolitical escalation follows a repeated pattern:
Breaking news
Rapid selloff
Forced liquidations
Sharp collapse within hours
The question is not: Does BTC decline?
The real question is:
Who has the liquidity to buy that collapse?
Not the small investor.
Not the overleveraged trader.
But those holding massive reserves, waiting for structural breakpoints.
If you control tens of thousands of BTC,
every wave of collective fear becomes an opportunity to accumulate at a lower price.
And here the suspicion begins:
Are large BTC holders merely observers?
Or do they understand that every military escalation mechanically creates an opportunity to re-accumulate supply at reduced prices?
Second: In a Leveraged Market, Amplifying Volatility Is Not Difficult
BTC markets are not slow, regulated traditional systems.
They are:
Operating 24/7
Highly leveraged
Saturated with stop-loss orders
Driven by trading algorithms
In such an environment, a moderate selling wave can trigger cascading liquidations worth billions.
If a large holder begins selling a significant position during geopolitical tension,
the market structure itself can accelerate the decline.
Is this necessarily illegal? No.
But is it ethically neutral? That is a different question.
Markets do not require conspiracy to become harsh.
Structural imbalance alone is sufficient.
Third: Profit in Both Directions During War
Large BTC holders do not rely solely on spot accumulation.
They have access to:
Futures contracts
Options
Short positions
Advanced hedging strategies
This means they are capable of:
Profiting from the initial decline
Buying during collective capitulation
Profiting from the rebound
Repeating the cycle multiple times
During war, BTC volatility becomes not just a risk — but a tool.
For the small investor, war means uncertainty.
For large capital, volatility means inventory.
Fourth: The Broader Narrative — Erosion of Trust in States Strengthens BTC
Wars do not only destroy infrastructure. They also:
Increase sovereign debt
Accelerate monetary expansion
Destabilize national currencies
Weaken public trust in institutions
All of this strengthens BTC’s narrative as a non-sovereign monetary asset.
If you already hold a significant BTC position,
every crisis that weakens confidence in the traditional financial system increases the long-term appeal of what you own.
Sixth: Is There Evidence of Coordinated Manipulation?
There are no court rulings proving that large BTC holders plan conflicts or create wars.
But the absence of evidence does not mean the absence of structural advantage.
Markets do not require secret meetings to redistribute wealth upward.
They only require:
Concentrated BTC supply
Leverage-heavy trading
Emotional behavior from small investors
And external shocks such as war
Under these conditions,
wealth tends to flow toward those with liquidity and patience.
Conclusion
BTC as code is neutral.
But markets are not.
During wars:
The fearful sell
The liquidated exit
The indebted collapse
The patient accumulate
Are large BTC holders guilty? There is no legal verdict.
But are they structurally positioned to benefit from wartime volatility?
From a purely economic perspective — in many cases, yes.
In the world of finance, chaos is rarely wasted.
It is repriced.
And in the world of money,
silent self-interest is stronger than any moral speech.
Written by Giovanni
Date of Publication: February 27, 2026
Prepared in collaboration with Team
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