#XRPETFApproval XRP is among a number of digital assets under review, alongside Solana, Litecoin, Dogecoin, Cardano, Polkadot, and others.
Bloomberg analysts estimate the chances of approval of the XRP spot ETF at 95%, fueling renewed speculation about institutional capital inflows and a potential shift in the dynamics of the crypto market.
Key findings:
Bloomberg analysts estimate the chances of approval of the XRP ETF at 95%, citing the SEC's increased involvement.
Large companies like Grayscale and Franklin Templeton rely on XRP.
Delays in approval could affect US competitiveness.
The updated forecast by ETF specialists James Seyffart and Eric Balchunas follows the growing involvement of regulators in the filing of several crypto ETFs.
Seyffart noted on X that the increasing interaction with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is “a very positive sign” as applications from major asset managers move forward.
XRP joins Solana, Litecoin and others in the ETF review spotlight
XRP is one of a number of digital assets under review, along with Solana, Litecoin, Dogecoin, Cardano, Polkadot, and others.
The SEC has already approved XRP's 19b-4 filings. A final decision is expected on October 17, 2025.
Seyffart noted that while approval seems inevitable, the timeline remains unclear: "It could be something we talk about in the next month or two. Or it could be something that waits until October or later.
Grayscale, Bitwise, Franklin Templeton, and 21Shares are among the firms backing XRP ETF applications, signaling strong institutional support.
Along with Solana and Litecoin, XRP now leads the field in predicted approval probability, while others such as Cardano, Dogecoin, and Polkadot have been assigned a probability of 90%.
The analysts' outlook reflects a broader trend: The SEC appears increasingly willing to treat many of these assets as commodities, which could ease their path to regulated products.
Nevertheless, the slow pace of development is cause for concern. Industry observers warn that delays could undermine the US's competitive position in digital asset innovation.
Proponents argue that faster approvals, especially for high-profile assets like XRP, would meet rising investor demand and solidify regulatory clarity.
On June 11, VivoPower, a publicly traded company, announced a partnership with the Flare blockchain to generate yield on its XRP holdings.
This move could indicate that institutional players are looking for ways to utilize their crypto assets without liquidating them.
In May, VivoPower also invested $121 million in XRP as a strategic reserve, making it the first company in the world with an XRP-focused treasury department.
XRP shows signs of price compression
XRP has been trading at around $2.015 since June 23, showing signs of price compression following a sharp decline from recent highs above $2.30.
The Bollinger Bands on the daily and 30-minute charts are narrowing, indicating lower volatility and a possible breakout.
On the 1-day chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 43.68, signaling slightly declining momentum but not yet oversold.
The MACD remains slightly below the signal line with negative histogram bars, suggesting that sellers remain in control. The price has fallen below both the middle Bollinger Band and the 20-day SMA, which could act as resistance at $2.03 and $2.11, respectively.
On the 30-minute chart, the RSI has recovered to 52.19, while the MACD is showing a bullish crossover, indicating short-term strength. Support was found at $1,996, and a slight recovery followed.
The 1-minute chart shows mixed momentum: the RSI is hovering around 41.74 and the MACD is flattening after a brief bullish attempt.
If XRP holds above the psychological level of $2.00, a retest of the resistance at $2.03 is likely. A break below $1.996 could expose the lower support at $1.93.
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